TF Securities: The supply-side reform of cement has gradually entered the second stage, and the industry profits are expected to go out of the relative bottom. According to the TF Securities Research Report, the whole process of the supply-side reform of cement industry can be divided into two steps. In the first step, the effect of "reducing production" was achieved by controlling the new production capacity and promoting peak-shifting production nationwide, and the industry profits were pushed up to a new high in 2019. At present, the cement industry is gradually entering the second stage of supply-side reform, and it is expected to realize the withdrawal of actual production capacity with the help of market-oriented behaviors such as environmental protection, double carbon policy and enterprise merger and reorganization. In the short term, peak-shifting production is still the most effective means to adjust the balance between supply and demand. After entering 2025, with the gradual tightening of the policy of restricting overcapacity, enterprises are forced to withdraw from small and medium-sized production capacity by making up the indicators of overcapacity, and the industry is expected to begin to realize real capacity clearing. In 2027, it will enter the stage of deepening and perfecting carbon trading, and the effect of industry capacity optimization is expected to be further revealed. At present, the profit end of the cement industry has shown signs of stabilization. Under the dual promotion of policy-driven and self-restraint under the growth of corporate profit demands, the profit in the fourth quarter is expected to begin to walk out of the relative bottom. CONCH, Shangfeng Cement, huaxin cement, China Resources Building Materials Technology and Western Cement are recommended.South Korean Finance Minister and US Treasury Secretary Yellen confirmed that they will work closely together.CITIC Jiantou: China's commercial space layout continues to land, and SpaceX's first mobile phone direct connection constellation has been built. CITIC Jiantou Research Report said that China's state-owned private enterprises have laid out one after another, and the satellite development and rocket launch modes have gradually transformed, and commercial space forces are expected to accelerate the layout process of low-orbit Internet. Recently, China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation Commercial Satellite Co., Ltd. unveiled its design concept of Internet satellite for the first time, including standardization, low cost, integration, digitalization and scale. The company's production line in Tianjin has an annual production capacity of more than 100 satellites, and the satellite super factory in Wenchang, Hainan is expected to be put into operation in 2025, with an annual production capacity of 1,000 satellites. The third batch of networked satellites in Qian Fan (G60) constellation was successfully launched, and the number of satellites in orbit increased to 54. China Telecom invested 1 billion yuan to set up a new satellite company. Internationally, SpaceX has built the world's first low-orbit mobile phone direct connection constellation, and the three European aerospace giants Airbus Group, Terez Company and Leonardo Company want to jointly build a new satellite company.
Trump said that individuals or companies that invest more than $1 billion in the United States will get accelerated approval. US President-elect Trump wrote in a post on his social media Truth Social on Tuesday: "Any individual or company that invests more than $1 billion in the United States will get comprehensive and accelerated approval and permission, including but not limited to all environmental approvals." This is the latest sign that Trump intends to relax the supervision of federal agencies and attract more foreign investment during his second term.Xie Yunliang, macro chief analyst of Cinda Securities, said that historically, the establishment of a "moderately loose" policy orientation needs to meet two major conditions, namely, the domestic pressure to stabilize prices is high and the foreign Federal Reserve is in a loose cycle. At present, it is judged that both situations may exist next year.Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Korea: We will pay close attention to the financial and foreign exchange market trends and take adequate measures to curb excessive fluctuations in the foreign exchange market.
In 2024, the number of cases of dengue fever in Brazil exceeded 6.76 million. On December 10, local time, according to the latest data from the Brazilian Ministry of Health, this year, the number of suspected and confirmed cases of dengue fever in Brazil rose to 6,763,743, and the number of deaths rose to 5,950, with another 1,091 deaths to be verified. In 2024, the number of cases of dengue fever infection in Brazil reached a record high since the country's epidemic record, which was three times that of 2023. The death toll of dengue fever has also reached a record high, four times that of 2023. The regions with the highest infection rates are federal capital territory, minas gerais, Balana and Sã o Paulo.ADB lowered the growth forecast of developing economies in the Asia-Pacific region to maintain China's economic growth forecast. On December 11th, the Asian Development Bank issued the Asia Development Outlook 2024 (December Edition). According to the report, the development momentum in the Asia-Pacific region is steady, but as US President-elect Trump is about to take office, changes in his trade, finance and immigration policies may inhibit the development of the Asia-Pacific region and aggravate inflation. ADB lowered its growth forecast for developing economies in the Asia-Pacific region from the previous 5.0% to 4.9% in 2024, and from the previous 4.9% to 4.8% in 2025. China's economic growth is expected to remain at 4.8% and 4.5% in 2024 and 2025 respectively, which is the same as before.Policy combination boosts confidence, and public offering: China's assets will usher in a further increase in valuation. On December 9, the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. A number of public offerings said that the meeting sent a very positive signal. At present, the economy is resilient, the investor structure is constantly optimized, and the market activity continues to increase. China assets may have an opportunity to raise their valuations again. From the perspective of funds, Jing Shun Great Wall Fund analyzed that the current A-share market is in the most active stage since 2015, and there are many potential bulls in the market. Policy expectations are expected to drive incremental funds into the market, forming a resonance between emotions and funds. (SSE)